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The B-21 Raider Stealth Bomber Looks Like an ‘Expensive’ Success

B-21 Raider
The B-21 Raider was unveiled to the public at a ceremony December 2, 2022 in Palmdale, Calif. Designed to operate in tomorrow's high-end threat environment, the B-21 will play a critical role in ensuring America's enduring airpower capability. (U.S. Air Force photo)

B-21 Stealth Bomber Program Is Moving Along Nicely: I have told you about the U.S. Air Force’s trouble with the Next-Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter. There’s a pause on the program and the Air Force doesn’t know how much it is going to cost or how it will be designed. But now consider the B-21 Raider stealth bomber and this news will put you in a better mood. The B-21 prototype is flying around twice a week with no reported hiccups.

B-2 Bomber

Pilots with the 131st Bomb Wing conduct pre-flight checks in a B-2 Spirit stealth bomber at Whiteman Air Force Base, Missouri, June 6, 2024. The B-2 is a multi-role bomber capable of delivering both conventional and nuclear munitions anywhere on the globe through previously impenetrable defenses. (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Master Sgt. John E. Hillier)

Program Is Further Along Than Planned

The B-21 first took to the skies in November after ground testing and engine runs. Northrop Grumman built the stealth bomber in Palmdale, California, and a corporate executive for the defense contractor wants the B-21 to fly once a day. “If you think about how far ahead we are, that’s great,” said Tom Jones, president of Northrop’s aeronautics sector.

B-21 Raider: Push the Envelope

The Air Force and Northrop are testing different aspects of the B-21 while it’s in-air and are “expanding the operating envelope.” There is the main testing airplane, and two others are undergoing evaluations on the ground.

The Air Force eventually want to acquire at least 100 B-21 Raiders. The stealth bomber is a dual-threat airplane that can deliver a nuclear payload or conventional munitions. Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota will have the first squadron.

Local Senator Is Impressed

U.S. Senator Mike Rounds represents South Dakota and has become an expert on the B-21. Rounds is excited about the Raider and its potential use against China. He sounded off about the bomber at an event held by the Hudson Institute.

China May Never See the B-21 Until It’s Too Late

“When the B-21 enters the picture, this whole scenario changes. The B-21 is an aircraft that has been designed to be the most stealthy that the world has ever seen. They [China] do not have today the defensive capabilities to defend against it. It has long-range capabilities, which starts to take care of the problem that we have in the Pacific, in that today we don’t have the ability necessarily to get all the way into China with our most advanced weapon systems and to take out some of their critical infrastructure, their defensive capabilities, and their offensive capabilities. With the advent of the B-21, they have a long way to go. They have the ability to be refueled. They have the ability to loiter in the area and attack,” Rounds said.

B-2 Spirit Stealth Bomber U.S. Air Force (2)

A B-2 Spirit makes a low pass flyover during the 2024 Warriors Over the Wasatch Open House and Air Show June 29, 2024, at Hill Air Force Base, Utah. The B-2 Spirit, the predecessor to the new B-21 Raider, has been the U.S. Air Force’s premiere stealth bomber for more than 20 years. (U.S. Air Force photo by Cynthia Griggs)

The B-21 has a range of 6,000 miles at a speed of 600 miles per hour. It is incredibly advanced with its updatable software and data processing. You could call it a flying computer.

The air intakes are smaller and blended into the top surfaces of the bomber which reduces radar signature.

The B-21 is getting rave reviews, and it seems like a blockbuster, but the price tag may raise your eyebrows. Estimates vary on the cost but expect the Air Force to pay anywhere from $300 million to $750 million per bomber. Northrop Grumman says it will cost $550 million – not a bargain. In another estimate, the Air Force may pay $692 million in 2022 dollars.

Could It Cost As Much As the F-35?

Multiply that by 100, and you are talking about a price tag similar to the F-35, and that assumes no schedule slips or cost overruns. But so far, so good. Two flights a week at this juncture is impressive, and if the demonstrator and the two other birds can fly once a day, that would create a test and evaluation situation that the Air Force and Northrop Grumman would be proud of.

The B-21 Still Needs Government Oversight

Senator Rounds is a huge B-21 fan and sits on the Senate Armed Services Committee. If anything goes wrong with the stealth bomber, he will be the first to hear about it. If worse comes to worse, he can help hold a hearing and get to the bottom of any problems before they fester.

The Spirit of Pennsylvania B-2 Spirit assigned to the 419th Flight Test Squadron lands at Edwards Air Force Base, California, July 17. (Air Force photo by Lindsey Iniguez)

The Spirit of Pennsylvania B-2 Spirit assigned to the 419th Flight Test Squadron lands at Edwards Air Force Base, California, July 17. (Air Force photo by Lindsey Iniguez)

Get an Independent Review

I don’t see this program getting canceled anytime soon. However, I recommend that the Congressional Research Service and the Government Accountability Office write a fresh report on the B-21 after the test and evaluation have progressed to one flight per day – perhaps at the end of this year. This is the best and most independent way to watch the program. The biggest problem with the B-21 is the cost, and these government think tanks and watchdogs are the best equipped to provide an unbiased and objective truth about the program.

Let’s hope the Air Force and the defense contractor are not hiding B-21 wrinkles or warts in terms of unplanned additional costs.

About the Author: Dr. Brent M. Eastwood

Brent M. Eastwood, PhD, is the author of Don’t Turn Your Back On the World: a Conservative Foreign Policy and Humans, Machines, and Data: Future Trends in Warfare, plus two other books. Brent was the founder and CEO of a tech firm that predicted world events using artificial intelligence. He served as a legislative fellow for U.S. Senator Tim Scott and advised the senator on defense and foreign policy issues. He has taught at American University, George Washington University, and George Mason University. Brent is a former U.S. Army Infantry officer. He can be followed on X @BMEastwood.

Brent M. Eastwood
Written By

Dr. Brent M. Eastwood is the author of Humans, Machines, and Data: Future Trends in Warfare. He is an Emerging Threats expert and former U.S. Army Infantry officer. You can follow him on Twitter @BMEastwood. He holds a Ph.D. in Political Science and Foreign Policy/ International Relations.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Avatar

    pagar

    September 25, 2024 at 3:56 pm

    B-21 definitely a big success cuz when ya hurl enough mountains of dough onto it, it will emerge out of the ovens with the ‘smell’ of success!

    Seriously, b-21 is the product of great harvest directly out of who else’s but asmodeus lab.

    THE bomber is a long-range bomber, designed strictly to turn US geopolitical rivals into massive empty parking lots in one fell swoop, as it not only is invisible but is also able to linger (or loiter) inside hostile airspace until job’s done.

    Thus it is a weapon inspired by asmodeus who wants to have his great harvests of human blood. Thanks, DoD. Thanks, austin.

  2. Avatar

    Jacksonian Libertarian

    September 26, 2024 at 12:48 am

    The fact that the price varies from $300m to 2.5 times that at $750m is a big red sign.
    While heavy long-range bombers loaded with long-range stand-off weapons are one of the few Industrial Age dumb weapons that still retain some combat power in the Information Age, Cheap cargo planes can do the same delivery job at a fraction of the price.
    Information Age weapons have hundreds of times the Combat Power/Cost that Industrial Age dumb weapons have.

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