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Poll After Poll Shows Donald Trump and the GOP Are In Deep Trouble as the Midterms Look Like a Blowout

A new POLITICO/PF Global poll finds fewer than one in ten Americans see Trump’s tax cuts among his top achievements, and nearly half have never heard of the Republicans’ “Working Families Tax Cuts” rebrand. Support for the law rises under the new name, but most voters are focused on living costs.

President Donald J. Trump makes an announcement on American nuclear innovation, Friday, July 24, 2026, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Molly Riley)
President Donald J. Trump makes an announcement on American nuclear innovation, Friday, July 24, 2026, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Molly Riley)

Republicans’ Tax Cut Strategy Isn’t Winning Over Voters – Every new poll appears to be bad news for the Republicans and President Donald Trump these days, and it looks as though their efforts to win over American voters with sweeping tax cuts aren’t turning their fortunes around. The latest polling suggests that the signature legislative achievement of President Trump’s second term is failing to generate the enthusiasm the party needs ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, as Republicans spend hundreds of millions of dollars promoting their economic policy victories.

Democrats, meanwhile, are focusing their campaigns on the rising cost of living and the ongoing war with Iran. And one side is having a bigger impact than the other.

President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump work the rope line at the Congressional Picnic on the South Lawn, Tuesday, May 19, 2026. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump work the rope line at the Congressional Picnic on the South Lawn, Tuesday, May 19, 2026. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

President Donald J. Trump tours the Hall of Prayer of Good Harvest with President Xi Jinping of the People’s Republic of China, Thursday, May 14, 2026, at the Temple of Heaven in Beijing. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

President Donald J. Trump tours the Hall of Prayer of Good Harvest with President Xi Jinping of the People’s Republic of China, Thursday, May 14, 2026, at the Temple of Heaven in Beijing. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

A new POLITICO/PF Global poll, published on Friday, October 16, found that fewer than one in ten Americans see the administration’s tax cuts among its most important achievements. And despite efforts from the Republicans to rebrand last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act as “Working Families Tax Cuts,” roughly half of Americans say that they are unfamiliar with the new name and what the legislation does.

The findings raise serious questions for Republicans about whether they can realistically convince voters to focus on tax savings when many households struggle to cope with rising prices.

Polls Show Tax Cuts Are Not a Priority

The new POLITICO survey, conducted between October 10 and 12 among 2,006 American adults, has a 2.2-percentage-point margin of error and suggests Republicans could perform poorly in the upcoming elections.

The results show that while 70% of respondents broadly consider taxes an important political issue, only 9% say taxation is their primary concern.

Most voters, it showed, are more concerned about rapidly rising living costs and the Iran war, and many expressed dissatisfaction with the administration’s economic performance so far.

This is not new; polls have repeatedly shown Republicans losing support in recent months, with Democrats now within reach of taking full control of Congress.

An AP-NORC survey released on October 15 also showed widespread frustration with Washington, with voters expressing concern over the economy and foreign policy.

A Reuters report published Thursday described how President Trump is struggling to deliver a consistent economic message at recent campaign rallies, despite repeatedly promising to lower prices.

The problem, then, is that voters are judging the president on current financial circumstances rather than their tax rates. After all, if Americans aren’t making much money or are struggling to cover their bills, their tax rate becomes irrelevant.

Voters, it seems, are judging their president on their current financial circumstances and how they think the economy will do from the short term to the medium term, rather than on tax legislation his party passed last year. And that’s probably not surprising to any observer.

Republicans Rebrand Their Biggest Achievement

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act was passed in 2025.

The legislation permanently extended major provisions of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts and introduced additional temporary deductions that covered qualifying tips, overtime income, and interest on certain American-made vehicle loans. It also provides additional relief for eligible seniors.

But the legislation also reduced federal spending on Medicaid and food assistance, two issues Democrats are now campaigning on.

Democrats can realistically say that the president cut healthcare and hurt the poorest people in the country.

Republican strategists responded and have recently begun promoting the legislation under a new name: Working Families Tax Cuts. The latest polling shows, however, that the new name has made little difference, potentially because American voters just don’t know what they are talking about.

When respondents were asked whether they supported the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, only 30% said they did.

That support increased, however, when the same legislation was described as Working Families Tax Cuts. Logically, the results suggest Americans respond more positively to the general idea of potential tax cuts for working families than to that specific legislation.

Interestingly, about 20% of respondents said they knew enough about the rebranded legislation to describe it. Some 49% said that they had never heard of it.

Tax Cuts Aren’t Enough

For Republicans, it’s clear that more needs to be done to win over Americans by the time they turn out to vote in November. But at this stage, Republicans likely have little to nothing they can do to change their fortunes.

The POLITICO poll also found that more than one-third of respondents would be more likely to support candidates who actually repeal the Republican legislation, compared with 20% who would be less likely.

With election day approaching, Republicans need to pull out all the stops and then go even further if they expect to win over independents. And they better hope their base is mobilized and enthused enough to actually bother voting.

About the Author: Jack Buckby

Jack Buckby is a British researcher and analyst specializing in defense and national security, based in New York. His work focuses on military capability, procurement, and strategic competition, and he produces and edits analysis for policy and defense audiences. He brings extensive editorial experience, with a career output spanning over 1,000 articles at 19FortyFive and National Security Journal, and has previously authored books and papers on extremism and deradicalization.

Jack Buckby
Written By

Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society. His latest book is The Truth Teller: RFK Jr. and the Case for a Post-Partisan Presidency.

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