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Does U.S. Afghanistan Policy Have a Future?

President Joe Biden delivers remarks regarding unifying the nation after the attempted assassination of former President Trump, Sunday, July 14, 2024, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)
President Joe Biden delivers remarks regarding unifying the nation after the attempted assassination of former President Trump, Sunday, July 14, 2024, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Crises often define presidential legacies. Jimmy Carter had the Iran hostage crisis, Bill Clinton the Balkans, George W. Bush the September 11 terror attacks, and Donald Trump the pandemic. Across decades, Americans may easily forget Afghanistan, given its small size and relative isolation. Still, the country has nevertheless played an outsized role in shaping American presidential legacies, both before and after the United States’ two-decade direct military involvement in the country.

A Look Into the Past: America and Afghanistan

Carter had to react to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan less than two months after Iranian students seized the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. Fearing that events in Afghanistan would reinforce the growing perception that he was weak and America humiliated, Carter responded by boycotting the 1980 Moscow Olympics.

President Ronald Reagan’s willingness to arm the Mujahedeen ultimately allowed him to celebrate a second-term victory much needed after the Iran-Contra Affair tarnished his legacy.

President George H.W. Bush appointed Peter Tomsen to be ambassador to Afghanistan, but he did not send him after the country descended into civil war. Bush may have considered that neglect prudent, but history does not treat the American withdrawal from Afghan affairs kindly. While the Mujahedin were not the Taliban, both Reagan and Bush now face criticism for unleashing Islamists, deferring Afghanistan’s future to Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, and being oblivious to or ignoring the consequences of their decisions.

Clinton continued to neglect the country; he believed that he could contain the growing Al Qaeda threat emerging from Afghanistan with an “over-the-horizon” counterterrorism mission best represented by one-off missile strikes on Al Qaeda camps and Taliban facilities in Afghanistan and Sudan following the August 1998 Al Qaeda attacks in Kenya and Tanzania.

9/11 and Afghanistan

The September 11, 2001 terror attacks returned Afghanistan to the forefront of American policy attention, where it would remain for the next 20 years. Each of the four presidents who oversaw U.S. policy made significant blunders. President George W. Bush’s decision to invade Iraq created a distraction that hampered and politicized the war effort.

President Barack Obama leveraged his successful killing of Osama Bin Laden into an excuse to seek closure to the war on terror, failing to recognize that the scourge of extremism in Afghanistan extended beyond a single man. He followed his June 4, 2009, Cairo “New Beginning” speech and pledge to close the Guantanamo Bay prison with secret negotiations that led to the Doha process. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s quip, “You don’t make peace with your friends. You have to be willing to engage with your enemies,” reflected an unwillingness to consider how engagement and financial incentives could actually empower the Taliban.

Donald Trump was little better. Ending “the forever war” became a mantra. National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster unsuccessfully tried to tame Trump’s urge to cut and run. Trump appointed Zalmay Khalilzad as special envoy to find a way to withdraw U.S. forces from Afghanistan.

A Turning Point: Joe Biden and Afghanistan

Following his decision to curtail his re-election bid, Biden released a statement highlighting his achievements; he did not mention Afghanistan despite his earlier self-praise about ending America’s longest war.

While it is easy with the benefit hindsight to criticize his predecessors’ approach to Afghanistan, how does Biden compare?

Biden harbored a decades-long disdain for Afghanistan. During a lunch President Hamid Karzai hosted for visiting U.S. senators, then-Senator Biden dismissed Karzai’s assessment of the role of Pakistan in providing sanctuary to the Taliban by boasting, “Pakistan is 50 times more important than Afghanistan to the United States.” Biden left the lunch angrily and abruptly. As vice president, Biden criticized the U.S. mission in Afghanistan. He not only opposed Obama’s troop surge, but he also considered resigning in protest. Upon rising to the presidency, Biden promised to undo almost all of Trump’s agenda but maintained the flawed Doha deal.  Unlike the previous presidents who recognized sacrifices Afghans made on behalf of their own and American security, Biden has repeatedly criticized Afghanistan and its people, declaring, “Afghanistan is not predisposed to unity.”  He was shameless in his inconsistency. In 2001, for example, he voted for the U.S. military intervention but two decades later said he was against “that war in Afghanistan from the very beginning.” Biden then elevated the Taliban as U.S. security partner, by selectively ignoring almost everything the Taliban did or said.

The Afghanistan of 2024

Before the Soviet invasion, Afghanistan was a poor but relatively peaceful, developing nation. The U.S. intervention allowed Afghanistan to resume its trajectory as a developing, modern polity. Millions of Afghan girls and women enrolled and matriculated at schools and universities, rose to public office, served in the military or opened private business. Today, under Taliban control, Afghanistan is a living hell and has once again become a global terror hub.

As the 2024 campaign continues, previous U.S. missteps in Afghanistan and a refusal to acknowledge their own mistakes have deterred both presidential candidates from articulating their own Afghan strategy. This is unfortunate. As with other totalitarian regimes, the Taliban’s rein of terror, misogyny and oppression will give rise to liberation and resistance movements. The new US strategy must be to empower democratic groups, and both women and human rights defenders.

Only a democratic Afghanistan can align Afghans’ needs for a responsible government with the broader demand for a terrorism-free Afghanistan.

About the Author

Dr. Davood Moradian is the founder and the first director-general of the Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies (AISS). He earned a doctorate degree from University of St Andrews (Scotland). His doctorate thesis was on the conception of punishment in ancient Greece, Islam and International Justice.

Davood Moradian
Written By

Dr. Davood Moradian is the founder and the first director-general of the Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies (AISS). He earned a doctorate degree from University of St Andrews (Scotland). His doctorate thesis was on the conception of punishment in ancient Greece, Islam and International Justice.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Avatar

    One-Worls-Wonder

    September 17, 2024 at 6:55 am

    Biden the great divider and bluffer !

    Biden is well known for his lies, fibs and big magnificent whoppers, many of them right out of this world

    But the doting media outlets have covered for him and all his untruths and falsehoods.

    Biden is worse than Jimmy Carter and bill Clinton and easily on par with Lyndon baines Johnson.

    LBJ led the US into a ruinous most terrible and genocidal war in south-east asia, while Joe Biden has led the entire western world into supporting and funding two big bloody wars in gaza and Donbass.

    In Afghanistan, like Hussein Obama, Biden made basically same mistake.

    When asked why his troops no longer ventured out on patrol looking for the advancing talibs, one commander said it was because his units were running low on ammo.

    If the troops were low on ammo, why not use drones or UAVs.

    Hell, no, those were all sent to Syria in order to help the CIA find and wipe out the miscreants standing in the way of the job of overthrowing the secular government in Damascus.

    In Kabul, Biden allowed the US soldiers at Kabul airport to fire at afghan civilians near the runway on Thursday 26 august 2021 after a suicide bomber activated an IED beside the airport gate.

    Then on sunday 29 august 2021 a drone strike in the city killed an afghan aid worker and his entire family while they were loading water containers inside his vehicle.

    Initially the Pentagon claimed a whole bunch of afghan-nased IS fighters were eliminated in the strike.

    It was not until Friday 17 Sept 2021 that general mark milley finally admitted the mistake and said the tragic deaths were heart wrenching.

    But Mike tyson Joe was enjoying every minute of it and very much looking forward to confronting Vladimir Ilyich putin his sworn nemesis.

  2. Avatar

    Naheed

    September 18, 2024 at 12:36 pm

    “Excellent analysis by Davood Moradian in the *National Security Journal*. His examination of the strategic challenges facing U.S. Afghanistan policy raises critical questions about its future direction. A thought-provoking read for anyone interested in international relations and security. #Afghanistan #USPolicy #NationalSecurityJournal”

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