The Treaty The Middle East Has a New Problem: The Houthis Declared a Blockade of Saudi Shipping in the Red Sea — and Vow ‘Siege-for-Siege’ The Houthis declared a blockade of Saudi shipping in the Red Sea and vowed a siege-for-siege policy, just as Riyadh reportedly reroutes most of... Georgia GilholySeptember 8, 2026
The Treaty The Iran Deal May Be Harder to Defend Than the Obama Agreement Trump Tore Up "The object in war is to obtain a better peace," one scholar writes — "and a better peace has not been obtained." By his... Robert FarleyJune 15, 2026
The Treaty Trump’s Iran Deal Has a Fatal Flaw: Israel or Hezbollah Could Restart the War at Any Second The US-Iran memorandum signed Monday isn't peace — it's a 60-day framework. And the biggest threat to it isn't at the table: Israel says... Jack BuckbyJune 15, 2026
The Treaty The U.S.-Iran Deal Has a Hidden Expiration Problem. Everything Hinges on What Happens on Day 61 Washington says Hormuz is permanently toll-free. Iran says 60 days, then come the fees. Those positions can't both be true — and normally that... Harrison KassJune 15, 2026
The Treaty The War to Stop Iran’s Nuclear Bomb May Have Just Guaranteed It Whatever gets signed in Switzerland on Friday, the war's most consequential outcome may be a conclusion forming in Tehran that no agreement can undo:... Harry J. KazianisJune 15, 2026
The Treaty A ‘Leaked’ Version of the Iran War Deal Looks Like Defeat for Donald Trump Less than a day after President Trump declared the Iran war over and the deal "complete," Iranian state-affiliated media published what it says are... Harry J. KazianisJune 15, 2026
The Treaty Iran Just Learned How Much Leverage It Always Had. That’s the Fact It Keeps No Matter What the Talks Decide The deal fixes the crisis the Iran war created — Hormuz, the blockade — and barely touches the three problems Washington started with: nuclear,... Andrew LathamJune 15, 2026
The Treaty Donald Trump’s New Iran Deal Settles Nothing: It Looks Like a Long-term Ceasefire with Giant Question Marks Trump calls it a completed deal. Iran calls it a ceasefire opening 60 days of talks. They're describing the same document — and both... Harry J. KazianisJune 14, 2026
The Treaty Donald Trump Just Invoked Nuclear Weapons Against Iran. That Was a Big Mistake Buried at the end of Trump's announcement that the Iran war ends Sunday was a line that had nothing to do with the signing... Harry J. KazianisJune 13, 2026
The Treaty The U.S. Military Reportedly Planned to Send Troops Into Iran to Seize Its Uranium. Then Trump Hit Pause The plan was so secret the Pentagon's top general flew the Atlantic rather than discuss it on an encrypted line: send U.S. troops into... Reuben JohnsonJune 13, 2026