The Treaty The Middle East Has a New Problem: The Houthis Declared a Blockade of Saudi Shipping in the Red Sea — and Vow ‘Siege-for-Siege’ The Houthis declared a blockade of Saudi shipping in the Red Sea and vowed a siege-for-siege policy, just as Riyadh reportedly reroutes most of... Georgia GilholySeptember 8, 2026
The Treaty U.S.-Iran Deal Isn’t a Breakthrough. It’s a Mutual Exit Ramp Both Sides Will Spin as a Win The US-Iran deal isn't a breakthrough, this analysis argues — it's a mutual exit ramp both sides will spin as a win. Washington wants... Harrison KassJune 22, 2026
The Treaty What a U.S.-Israel Break Would Actually Look Like — and It Wouldn’t Be a Speech An Israeli minister wants Netanyahu to reject Trump's Iran deal — and this analysis reads it as a real fault line. Trump wants out... Harrison KassJune 22, 2026
The Treaty ‘You Close It, and You Won’t Have a Country’: Trump’s Warning to Iran After It Shut the Strait Again Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz closed again — though CENTCOM says it's still open, and the ship counts are murky. Trump's response was... Steve BalestrieriJune 22, 2026
The Treaty A New Book Says Trump Told Tucker Carlson He Wouldn’t Go to War With Iran: ‘We’re Not Doing That’ A new Haberman-Swan book claims Trump privately told Tucker Carlson and Elon Musk he wouldn't go to war with Iran — "We're not doing... Jack BuckbyJune 21, 2026
The Treaty Iran Just Closed the Strait of Hormuz Again — and Says It’s Only the ‘First Step’ The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire lasted hours — and its collapse has shut the Strait of Hormuz again. Tehran closed the chokepoint Saturday, citing Israeli "violations,"... Jack BuckbyJune 20, 2026
The Treaty Trump Has a Problem: How Iran Won the War It Was Losing — Without Firing Most of Its Missiles Iran lost the war militarily — and may have won the negotiation anyway. US intelligence reportedly believes Iran can now shut the Strait of... Jack BuckbyJune 20, 2026
The Treaty The Iran Deal Almost Collapsed in Just One Day A day that nearly blew up the Iran deal ended with a ceasefire. After a Hezbollah tank strike killed four Israeli soldiers and Israel... Jack BuckbyJune 19, 2026
The Treaty Trump Got His Iran Deal — and His Approval Rating Is Still Stuck at 36% and Crashing Trump has his signed Iran deal — but the political win isn't materializing. A new poll puts his approval at 36 percent, barely moved,... Jack BuckbyJune 19, 2026
The Treaty Donald Trump Isn’t Looking for the Perfect Iran Deal. He’s Looking for an Exit He Can Sell Trump may bomb Iran again — but the likelier outcome, this analysis argues, is that he takes a thin deal, calls it a win,... Andrew LathamJune 19, 2026