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No, the Aircraft Carrier Is Not Obsolete

Sailors prepare to man the rails as Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) arrives at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam for Exercise Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) 2024, June 25. Twenty-nine nations, 40 surface ships, three submarines, 14 national land forces, more than 150 aircraft and 25,000 personnel are participating in RIMPAC in and around the Hawaiian Islands, June 27 to Aug. 1. The world’s largest international maritime exercise, RIMPAC provides a unique training opportunity while fostering and sustaining cooperative relationships among participants critical to ensuring the safety of sea lanes and security on the world’s oceans. RIMPAC 2024 is the 29th exercise in the series that began in 1971. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Leon Vonguyen)
Sailors prepare to man the rails as Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) arrives at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam for Exercise Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) 2024, June 25. Twenty-nine nations, 40 surface ships, three submarines, 14 national land forces, more than 150 aircraft and 25,000 personnel are participating in RIMPAC in and around the Hawaiian Islands, June 27 to Aug. 1. The world’s largest international maritime exercise, RIMPAC provides a unique training opportunity while fostering and sustaining cooperative relationships among participants critical to ensuring the safety of sea lanes and security on the world’s oceans. RIMPAC 2024 is the 29th exercise in the series that began in 1971. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Leon Vonguyen)

You may have heard the many arguments against the aircraft carrier, all basically saying they are all done as a major naval platform. Many experts say they are too expensive, too complex, and too costly to maintain, again, the critics say. Anti-ship missiles or torpedoes from submarines can easily take them out. These naysayers believe that carriers are no longer needed to project power and the floating airports are a relic of a bygone age.

But is that the case? Many would take a different perspective.

Aircraft Carrier Talk: Hear It Straight from a Veteran

But try criticizing the aircraft carrier around navy veterans who worked on flat-tops during their career and you will get a much different opinion. My father-in-law, Eddie Sanchez, served on the USS Oriskany for four years during the Vietnam War. This is the carrier that the late U.S. senator and presidential candidate John McCain flew from. Sanchez worked one of the most dangerous jobs on the ship – flight deck operations. He was a “green shirt” who operated and maintained the ship’s catapults and arresting gear. Sanchez worked incredibly challenging hours – 48-hour shifts – and he oversaw hundreds of sorties.

Sanchez believes that aircraft carriers will always be necessary. “We continually put pressure on the enemy in North Vietnam, he said. “Without the carrier operations, the war would have gone on longer. If something ever happened with China, the carriers in the region would answer the call and bring the fight to the enemy again,” Sanchez said.

There is an Eye-Watering Price Tag

However, U.S. aircraft carriers come with a cost that makes critics bristle.

The new Ford-class carrier will set the United States back an estimated $13 billion.

Maintenance is another monetary sinkhole. The Ford-class will cost around $700 million a year to maintain.

Critics say this gargantuan expense could be spent better on other ships and submarines. Perhaps they are correct. Nuclear-powered submarines have incredible advantages in modern maritime warfare. Whether carrying nuclear missiles or firing anti-ship or land-attack cruise missiles, the submarine brings much to the table. Having more in the water would be an obvious advantage. Frigates and destroyers can fire stand-off missiles, too. They are smaller targets than carriers and can deploy the vaunted Aegis Combat System to ward off enemy missiles.

Enter China as a Dangerous Naval Power

The Chinese navy is the biggest in the world, so it would make sense for the United States to build as many warships as possible to maintain parity with China. The Chinese are also employing asymmetric tactics, such as anti-access/ area denial operations against the U.S. Navy, that would keep aircraft carriers out of range of Chinese assets in the Indo-Pacific. Plus, the Chinese have three aircraft carriers of their own, so the United States will need to keep up with its own carrier operations to defend Taiwan and other allies.

Could America Lose an Aircraft Carrier?

There are problems with U.S. naval doctrine that depend on the aircraft carrier. In my latest book, I wrote that American battle planners who focus on the East Asia fight must face a new reality. The United States could face the unthinkable—losing an aircraft carrier in battle. This would shatter American resolve in the region and horrify the public. It would be difficult for the president to continue the fight in East Asia if a carrier was sunk.

The U.S. Navy Is Prepared

But any type of warfare is risky. The Navy is aware of the dangers to its carriers. That is why it patrols in strike groups with a flotilla of combat and support ships. The Aegis Combat System can protect carriers from anti-ship missiles and drones. American prowess in undersea warfare can detect and scare off Chinese submarines.

Aircraft Carriers Boost Morale

Another aspect of aircraft carriers that does not get enough attention is the psychological impact on morale. The United States has the best navy in the world and is not afraid of the rise of China. I have talked to senior naval commanders, and they are confident that the Americans would “roll up” Chinese warships so fast that any conflict with Beijing would be short. The carrier thus has implications about the way Americans conduct warfare. They are symbolic psychologically and give enlisted sailors and officers a boost of confidence, sending a message to the enemy about power and prestige. Carriers are thus a psychological and morale-building force multiplier. No other ship can boast of such traits.

More than ever, the aircraft carrier is needed now. It has disadvantages, such as cost per ship and maintenance difficulties and expenses, but it is not obsolete. The Chinese will not stop building them, and the United States should not stop either. They are too important an asset to abandon.

About the Author: Dr. Brent M. Eastwood

Brent M. Eastwood, PhD, is the author of Don’t Turn Your Back On the World: a Conservative Foreign Policy and Humans, Machines, and Data: Future Trends in Warfare, plus two other books. Brent was the founder and CEO of a tech firm that predicted world events using artificial intelligence. He served as a legislative fellow for U.S. Senator Tim Scott and advised the senator on defense and foreign policy issues. He has taught at American University, George Washington University, and George Mason University. Brent is a former U.S. Army Infantry officer. He can be followed on X @BMEastwood.

Brent M. Eastwood
Written By

Dr. Brent M. Eastwood is the author of Humans, Machines, and Data: Future Trends in Warfare. He is an Emerging Threats expert and former U.S. Army Infantry officer. You can follow him on Twitter @BMEastwood. He holds a Ph.D. in Political Science and Foreign Policy/ International Relations.

18 Comments

18 Comments

  1. George

    August 24, 2024 at 6:42 am

    I see you still don’t believe the Zircon is real, knowing full well the capabilities of the Khinzal.

    • A

      August 24, 2024 at 3:29 pm

      Which have never targeted a moving object and have been shot down using existing technology.

    • Doyle

      August 25, 2024 at 7:15 pm

      both pathetic platforms…. Try harder Ivan.

  2. bobb

    August 24, 2024 at 9:14 am

    Dr Eastwood, a determined foe, with his back fully pressed against the wall, and also realising his wife & kids & grandpa and grandma are at the total mercy of the EVIL american aircraft cariers, WILL spare no effort to neutralize them. NONE AT ALL.

    The current american posture toward china is an exact carbon copy of the jap posture seen during. 1931 – 1945.

    Did the Jap (master of kido butai aircraft carriers) ever succeed.
    The answer is ‘NO’ !!!

    • Roy

      August 25, 2024 at 12:16 am

      Dr. Eastwood has no understanding of the technical capabilities that the aircraft carriers offer the US Naval command for the ability to strike an enemy and control a large amount of territory. Carriers are one of the best advanced military weapon systems that the United States Navy has and it certainly has an influence in the Middle East right now. Dr. Eastwood should read all the articles on real clear defense.com over the last three years and learned that there are 10 articles minimum that favor all of the defense capabilities of an aircraft carrier and those defenses include offensive and defensive weapon systems as well as long range, scanners in the form of on board radars, including the age of system and airplanes that carry advanced long distance, radars, and sensors. Please continue to educate yourself, Dr. Eastwood on the abilities of aircraft carriers to provide the best form of modern defense that any naval adversary will be up against and lose against.

      • Doyle

        August 25, 2024 at 7:17 pm

        read the article?

    • Doyle

      August 25, 2024 at 7:16 pm

      and yet the Americans did….seriously is there any point to your inanity???

  3. Geoff

    August 24, 2024 at 12:52 pm

    If they’re obsolete, it’ll be because of the incredibly poor doctrinal decisions made by the USN. Short legged attack aircraft instead of dedicated bomb trucks like the A-6, no tankers, getting rid of most of a CVNs organic ASW capabilities, replacing Greyhounds with Ospreys, etc. Ever bigger, more elaborate, more expensive CVNs rather than smaller, more easily dispersed carriers…all the eggs, in a single, irreplaceable basket…

  4. A

    August 24, 2024 at 3:35 pm

    This is a poor defense of the carrier. It brings a giant mound of energy across the world allowing logistics support of an entire air wing which might be much harder to constitute ashore if a field is available. It can certainly do that faster than its land based counterparts. It can deliver more ordnance to more targets faster and sustained since it can rearm while underway at sea. Recent Red Sea experience shows a defended target can be defended by UAVs, ballistic missiles and ASMs. We need to llok at how to reduce the expense of carriers while enhancing the air wing. That has been our miss the past 30 years. That doesn’t make the carrier obsolete. UAVs at some point soon will make the carrier even more relevant.

  5. Bill C

    August 24, 2024 at 9:06 pm

    Your article reads like a Navy brochure. All fluff, no meat.

  6. Big Jake

    August 25, 2024 at 11:26 am

    One of the most juvenile articles I’ve ever read. I guess PhDs don’t have to learn how to write or form mature arguments. SMH.

  7. chrisford1

    August 25, 2024 at 2:57 pm

    Spare us former Army infantry officers writing promos for the MIC and more of the same Navy putting most of it’s eggs in Queen Carriers and the hero short-range fighter/bomber jocks. (That will get massacred against modern AA/AD defenses like CHina has. )

    “The United States has the best navy in the world and is not afraid of the rise of China.”
    You must have talked with morons in Public Relations. The Fleet is VERY worried about the rise of China, new carrier killer tech, and the 80-year era of the multi-billion behemoth carrier ending in obsolescence. Gone the way of the battleship and horse cavalry charges.

    “I have talked to senior naval commanders, and they are confident that the Americans would “roll up” Chinese warships so fast that any conflict with Beijing would be short.”
    Those people were either extraordinarily stupid, or they were having fun with a naive landlubber grunt.

    • Doyle

      August 25, 2024 at 7:19 pm

      so you believe Chinese hype/propaganda and deny anything else…sad.

  8. cbvand

    August 25, 2024 at 6:36 pm

    Sounds like the arguments the Battleship Admirals made. Like battleships before them aircraft carriers have being built in ever increasing size and fewer numbers. Time to build smaller, fast carriers reminiscent of those built in good numbers during WWII. The US was able to destroy four Japanese carriers at Midway and hamper their offensive and defensive naval capabilities. With the limited number of carriers, we are at risk for such an outcome. Build more, smaller, faster carriers in greater number.

  9. Doyle

    August 25, 2024 at 7:21 pm

    and they did not use “small” carriers at Midway at all, they were all fleet carriers and they were far fewer in number than today. The small carriers in WWII for the most part ferried replacement aircraft to the fleet carriers.

  10. Jacksonian Libertarian

    August 25, 2024 at 10:36 pm

    Why do you need a runway at sea?
    An entire $50 Billion dollar Aircraft Carrier Battle Group just to field 80 aircraft many of which are required to defend the Carrier and cannot be used offensively.
    How many cheap, long-range, runway-independent, attritable, 100% available, fast, drones can be fielded (50,000?) for the same price as one of the 11 carriers or 9 amphibious battlegroups (30% availability), at no risk to American Servicemen?
    Why put all your eggs in one vulnerable basket that one hit would at the very least mission kill the entire group if not cost America the war?
    We may not know how many missiles it will take to hit the carrier, but we know how many they can economically use…all of them.
    We all know how slow surface ships are. It would take weeks to transport another carrier to the battlefield and a decade to replace one that has been lost.
    The fact is the dinosaurs and fossils at the Pentagon are stuck in the Industrial Age preparing to fight WWII again, and trapped in the “Sunk Costs Fallacy” spending bank on defending what is supposed to be Offensive Weapons.
    Where are America’s Drones Swarms?
    We should have enough to fill the skies and block out the sun.

  11. david

    August 25, 2024 at 11:43 pm

    Perhaps the problem is not carriers its the American public. If,as you suggested, the Public cannot handle to loss of a carrier then we have no business risking one.

    Because in this case its not going to win a war – its going to loose one.

    The Public must be educated on why we do what we do.

  12. Pingback: Virginia-Class Block IV: Best U.S. Navy Attack Submarine Ever? - National Security Journal

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