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The Treaty

Russia Is Threatening War with America

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F-16 Fighting Falcons from both the 35th and 80th Fighter Squadrons of the 8th Fighter Wing, as well as from the 466th Fighter Squadron of the 419th Fighter Wing at Hill Air Force Base, Utah, demonstrate an elephant walk formation as they taxi down a runway during an exercise at Kunsan Air Base, Republic of Korea Dec. 2, 2011. The exercise showcased Kunsan AB aircrews' capability to quickly and safely prepare an aircraft for a wartime mission. (U.S. Air Force photo by Staff Sgt. Rasheen Douglas/Released)

Key Points and Summary – Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has issued a stark warning to President Trump, stating that his new, shortened ultimatum for a Ukraine peace deal is a “step towards war…with his own country.”

-The threat came after Trump slashed his 50-day deadline for a ceasefire down to just 10-12 days.

-Medvedev, a key Kremlin hardliner, warned Trump not to follow the “Sleepy Joe road” and asserted that Russia is not a country that responds to ultimatums.

-The direct threat represents a significant escalation in rhetoric as the standoff between Washington and Moscow intensifies.

Russia Warns Trump Just Made A “Step Towards War”

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev warned on X this week that the United States is taking a “step towards war,” citing U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest ultimatum to Moscow.

Medvedev, who now serves as the deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia, warned that Trump’s decision to shorten his 50-day deadline for a peace deal to just 12 days won’t work.

“Trump’s playing the ultimatum game with Russia: 50 days or 10… He should remember 2 things: 1. Russia isn’t Israel or even Iran. 2. Each new ultimatum is a threat and a step towards war. Not between Russia and Ukraine, but with his own country.”

Medvedev also warned the president not to “go down the Sleepy Joe road!” – a reference to former President Joe Biden and his aggressive approach to arming Ukraine.

President Donald Trump initially announced his 50-day deadline for peace on July 14, writing on Truth Social that he would implement “severe tariffs” against Russia if a deal is not made. It has been widely reported that the president may throw his weight behind pending Senate legislation proposed by Republican Senator Lindsey Graham that would slap Moscow’s global trade partners with secondary sanctions and tariffs if they continue to purchase cheap oil from Russia.

On July 28, speaking to reporters in Scotland, Trump set a new deadline of 10 or 12 days.

“I’m going to make a new deadline, of about 10 – 10 or 12 days from today,” the president said. “There’s no reason for waiting. It was 50 days. I wanted to be generous, but we just don’t see any progress being made.”

Russia’s Back Against A Wall?

Medvedev’s claim that President Trump is making a “step towards war” is not the first time Moscow has framed Western actions in Ukraine as potential triggers for a broader conflict. Since the earliest days of the war, Russia has drawn red lines around NATO’s involvement and the delivery of advanced Western weapons systems.

In late 2021, before the invasion, the Kremlin demanded binding guarantees that NATO would halt its eastward expansion and remove missile deployments from Eastern Europe, warning that failure to meet these demands would force Russia to take unspecified “military-technical” measures. When those demands were not met, Russia invaded Ukraine just months later. Throughout the conflict, Russian officials have repeatedly cautioned that Western-supplied weapons could escalate the war beyond Ukraine’s borders.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warned last year that providing “the most sensitive weapons” to Kyiv could have “unpredictable consequences,” while Russian state television hosts have openly suggested that NATO support for Ukraine amounts to “World War Three.”

The warnings intensified as Western support for Ukraine grew. When the United states authorized the transfer of long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine, Moscow described the move as a “new round of tension” and threatened to retaliate against Western suppliers directly. President Vladimir Putin himself has stated that if such weapons were used to strike Russian territory, donor nations could be considered legitimate targets.

And then there’s the nuclear threat. Russia’s military doctrine allows for the use of nuclear weapons in response to an existential threat to the state – a state that Russia believes extends across Ukrainian borders.

In November, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu reiterated that the doctrine remains “fully intact” and warned that Moscow would not hesitate to defend itself with every available means if it deemed Russia’s sovereignty at risk.

Just Russian Hype over the Ukraine War? 

Medvedev’s latest comments could therefore be interpreted as a sign that Moscow feels as though it is being pushed into a corner.

Russia’s economy has survived multiple rounds of sanctions already.

Still, given that it is now so heavily dependent on energy exports, Trump’s latest threats to pressure Russia’s global trade partners are hard for Putin to ignore.

And with little indication that the war will end without Russia first achieving its stated goals in Ukraine, the Kremlin may see escalating rhetoric as one of the few tools it has left to deter Washington.

At the same time, it’s worth noting that Medvedev has long been one of the Kremlin’s most aggressive public messengers. Unlike Putin, who has maintained a relatively respectful public posture towards Trump even in recent months, Medvedev functions as Moscow’s “attack dog” – delivering the most serious threats and watching to see how the West responds.

His “step towards war” warning could, therefore, be a calculated message designed to test Washington’s response.

About the Author:

Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society. His latest book is The Truth Teller: RFK Jr. and the Case for a Post-Partisan Presidency.

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Jack Buckby
Written By

Jack Buckby is a British author, counter-extremism researcher, and journalist based in New York. Reporting on the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., he works to analyze and understand left-wing and right-wing radicalization, and reports on Western governments’ approaches to the pressing issues of today. His books and research papers explore these themes and propose pragmatic solutions to our increasingly polarized society. His latest book is The Truth Teller: RFK Jr. and the Case for a Post-Partisan Presidency.

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. topol

    July 30, 2025 at 7:27 am

    Russia, although greatly weakened by mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin and perhaps Vladimir Putin, is neither Israel nor Iran.

    Today, Russia at a minimum, still retains the ability (in case worse turns into worst) to force the braggart to fight the boggart.

    Trump has been trying to play Russia for a jeff Epstein song, while xi has been playing Russia for western favors.

    Time for Russia to force trump to enter a showdown or final countdown with xi.

    Because Russia has the ability to do it.

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