Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Dollars and Sense

Trump’s Next Crisis: The Iran War Is Destroying the Economies of Its Neighbors and No One Has a Clue When it Could End

Iraq has devalued the dinar as the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz closure push its oil exports onto a costlier overland route through Syria. The move aims to stretch dollar oil revenue further but makes imports pricier, and the unofficial rate has jumped, prompting many exchange shops to close.

ANDAMAN SEA (Oct. 12, 2012) The Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) moves into formation in the Andaman Sea. Ships and aircraft of the George Washington and John C. Stennis carrier strike groups are conducting exercises to increase interoperability, readiness, and the capability to respond quickly to various potential crises in the region, ranging from combat operations to humanitarian assistance. The U.S. Navy is constantly deployed to preserve peace, protect commerce, and deter aggression through forward presence. Join the conversation on social media using #warfighting. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Kenneth Abbate/Released)
ANDAMAN SEA (Oct. 12, 2012) The Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) moves into formation in the Andaman Sea. Ships and aircraft of the George Washington and John C. Stennis carrier strike groups are conducting exercises to increase interoperability, readiness, and the capability to respond quickly to various potential crises in the region, ranging from combat operations to humanitarian assistance. The U.S. Navy is constantly deployed to preserve peace, protect commerce, and deter aggression through forward presence. Join the conversation on social media using #warfighting. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Kenneth Abbate/Released)

As the conflict in Iran threatens economies worldwide, officials are doing everything they can to keep their countries’ economies from spiraling further.

Iraq, for example, has devalued its currency against the US dollar, putting the exchange rate at roughly 1,500 Iraqi dinars per 1 US dollar.

U.S. Navy

The French Marine Nationale aircraft carrier FS Charles De Gaulle (R91), and the aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) are underway in formation in the Red Sea, April 15, 2019. The John C. Stennis Carrier Strike Group is deployed to the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations in support of naval operations to ensure maritime stability and security in the Central Region, connecting the Mediterranean and the Pacific through the western Indian Ocean and three strategic choke points. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Joshua L. Leonard)

PHILIPPINE SEA(Feb. 22, 2016) USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) sails through the Philippine Sea. Providing a ready force supporting security and stability in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region, Stennis is operating as part of the Great Green Fleet on a regularly scheduled 7th Fleet deployment. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Cole C. Pielop/Released).

PHILIPPINE SEA(Feb. 22, 2016) USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) sails through the Philippine Sea. Providing a ready force supporting security and stability in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region, Stennis is operating as part of the Great Green Fleet on a regularly scheduled 7th Fleet deployment. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Cole C. Pielop/Released) .

Previously, the exchange rate stood at around 1,300 dinars per US dollar.

Meeting Economic Challenges

According to Iraq’s central bank, the decision to devalue the dinar was made “to meet the relevant financial, economic, and monetary requirements.” The official exchange rate was last set in 2023, but exchange shops have always carried a different rate.

The gap between the official rate and the shops’ rate has only widened since the war in Iran.

The Iraqi economy relies heavily on oil exports, and getting oil to buyers has become more complex and expensive because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The majority of Iraq’s oil exports were channeled through the now-closed strait; now, Iraq has been forced to take a more expensive overland shipping route through Syria as an alternative, as the strait remains under Iran’s chokehold.

What Does Devaluing Accomplish?

By devaluing its own currency, Iraq hopes to literally get more bang for its buck.

The US buys exported oil in dollars, which then convert into more dinars and, at least on paper, give the Iraqi government more money to spend.

However, a weaker dinar also means imported goods will cost more, as the policy will have the opposite effect on businesses that rely on imports.

Following the announcement, the unofficial exchange rate rose to 1,700 dinars per US dollar, prompting many exchange businesses to close.

The War in Iran Impacts Everyone

Beyond military spending and direct casualties, the effects of the war in Iran have undeniably affected countries worldwide, particularly fuel prices.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has also disrupted other industries that use the waterway to transport goods.

Agricultural hubs in Southeast Asia and Africa, for example, have been forced to reckon with a severe shortage of fertilizer products.

Rising oil prices have also driven up the cost of everyday commodities, leaving many hungry.

The United Nations estimates that the conflict in the Middle East has caused 45 million people to lose proper access to food.

US Not Budging in Deal with Iran

Meanwhile, Washington isn’t budging from its hardline stance against Iran, insisting that Tehran end its nuclear ambitions, and creating even more uncertainty as to when hostilities will stop.

The U.S. is using “Operation Economic Outcast,” an extensive sanctions campaign that consistently escalates against Tehran — and US officials are seemingly hoping for Iran to become too weak to make its own concession demands once peace talks start again.

“The Iranian regime’s ability to fund its war machine and inflict terror on the world has been severely diminished thanks to Operation Economic Outcast,” Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, said. The operation, he added, is aimed at “enablers” of Iran and is designed to “drain the [Iranian] regime’s revenue once and for all.”

VP Vance Signals Possible Softening

US Vice President JD Vance made recent statements saying that the US may be willing to consider sitting down with Iran again if the latter decides to take “meaningful” steps to reduce its uranium-enhancing capabilities and abilities.

In an interview with Reuters, Vance reasoned that if Iran was truly committed to not developing nuclear weapons, it did not need the ability to produce enriched uranium up to the level it has today.

Iran has reportedly been able to enrich uranium up to around 60%.

This level of enrichment puts Iran’s nuclear capabilities to allow it to use nuclear energy, but not yet nuclear weapons.

Uranium must be enriched to roughly 90% to be considered weapons-grade.

However, the war has made it more difficult to assess if Iran has continued its nuclear program, or if the US offensives have affected its nuclear program at all.

His statements come shortly after US President Donald Trump announced he recently rejected a deal with Iran, citing problems with elements of the agreement and calling them “not enough.”

About the Author: Tim Ramos

Tim Ramos has written for various publications, corporations, and organizations, covering finance, politics, travel, entertainment, and sports in Asia and the U.S. for more than 10 years.

Timothy Ramos
Written By

Tim Ramos has written for various publications, corporations, and organizations – covering everything from finance, politics, travel, entertainment, and sports – in Asia and the U.S. for more than 10 years.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like

Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More

Key Points and Summary – NASA’s X-43A Hyper-X program was a tiny experimental aircraft built to answer a huge question: could scramjets really work...

Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More

Key Points and Summary – China’s J-20 “Mighty Dragon” stealth fighter has received a major upgrade that reportedly triples its radar’s detection range. -This...

Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More

Article Summary – The Kirov-class was born to hunt NATO carriers and shield Soviet submarines, using nuclear power, long-range missiles, and deep air-defense magazines...

Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More

Key Points and Summary – While China’s J-20, known as the “Mighty Dragon,” is its premier 5th-generation stealth fighter, a new analysis argues that...