The Treaty
The Iran war is hitting your wallet whether you noticed or not: about $1,000 per household so far, by Moody's chief economist's "conservative" estimate...
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National Security Journal
Ukraine War
Someone just moved the market on Putin's downfall. A newly created Polymarket account placed bets large enough to shift the odds that he leaves...
Dollars and Sense
The Iran War's biggest winner never fired a shot. While America drained its emergency oil reserve to a four-decade low, China sat on 1.4...
Ukraine War
An anonymous Polymarket user — nicknamed "ZnotluvuiSamez," flying a Ukrainian flag avatar — has bet $409,000 that Putin will be out of power by...
Ukraine War
Putin's forces bombed Kyiv for 11 straight hours, killing at least 20 civilians. In this searing analysis, Rutgers professor Alexander Motyl argues the barrage...
Ukraine War
Someone anonymously bet $400,000 on Polymarket that Putin will resign or be ousted by the end of 2026 — a wager placed as Ukrainian...
Ukraine War
The numbers in a new CSIS study are almost too large to grasp: over 2 million casualties, 450,000 Russians dead — more than four...
Ukraine War
Ukraine struck again overnight, setting fires at one of Russia's biggest refineries — a critical hub feeding fuel to the country's central regions. The...
Ukraine War
The scenes inside Russia look like the 1990s again: fuel lines, siphoning, fistfights at gas stations where gasoline runs $2.42 a liter — when...