The Treaty
The Iran deal will be sold as peace through strength, but two numbers tell a different story: America's strategic oil reserve has fallen to...
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National Security Journal
Ukraine War
The alliance's mutual-defense clause has been triggered once in seventy-six years, after 9/11. It was written before cyberwarfare existed, and that ambiguity is exactly...
Ukraine War
The likeliest place is a narrow corridor between Kaliningrad and Belarus — NATO's only land route to the Baltics. The goal wouldn't be territory....
Ukraine War
Most likely to bring Putin to his knees is Ukraine’s progressive strangulation of Crimea. If Russian soldiers and civilians continue to flee the peninsula,...
Ukraine War
The Nuclear Stigma Has Held for Eighty Years: A Single Tactical Nuke in the Ukraine War Could End It
The case against tactical nuclear use is not only humanitarian. If such weapons are shown to accomplish what the largest conventional munitions cannot, every...
Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More
Kyiv's partners have given $300 billion and counting — the problem isn't will, it's arithmetic. America burned two-thirds of its Patriots on Iran, Moscow...
Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More
One new appointee led the assault on Kyiv and the Kursk counterattack. The other reportedly planned Avdiivka's fall and now runs Russia's drones. The...
Military Hardware: Tanks, Bombers, Submarines and More
The numbers behind the blowup: roughly 800 Patriot interceptors left of 2,330, THAAD stocks slashed, ATACMS nearly gone, Tomahawks at half of plan —...
Ukraine War
Eight hundred workers ran from a burning logistics center in Yekaterinburg while air defense guns fired overhead. Nobody was hurt. But across Russia, franchise...
Ukraine War
The Patriot is the only system that reliably stops these missiles, America hasn't got enough to spare, and output won't rise much before 2030....
Ukraine War
Wildberries isn't much of a military target — it's a target Ukraine can reliably reach. But every drone Russia shoots down is money burned,...
The Treaty
The war was pitched as four days to five weeks. Six months later, Hormuz is still closed, the Houthis hold Bab el-Mandeb, and Iran's...
The Treaty
Oil traders aren't celebrating yet — the last agreement collapsed within weeks. This one reportedly gives Iran a level of control over the world's...
The Treaty
American nonproliferation policy treats the spread of nuclear weapons as uniformly destabilising. A body of scholarship associated with Kenneth Waltz and Christopher Layne holds...
Dollars and Sense
Iran controls the inbound lane. Oman controls outbound. The nuclear question goes back to a table it never left. For a president who sorts...
Dollars and Sense
Exxon's Gulf plants ran at 95 percent last quarter, Chevron's at 97, Shell's above 102. Those numbers look like strength. They describe an industry...
Dollars and Sense
Russia doesn't have enough air defenses to guard Moscow, its nuclear sites, and its refineries all at once. Every choice leaves something exposed —...
North Korea Talk
Reuben F. Johnson reports that an official with Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Service says a North Korean missile unit has begun deploying personnel, missiles and...
North Korea Talk
Jack Buckby reports that Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate told Reuters a North Korean missile unit has begun deploying to Russia's Voronezh region, potentially bringing...
North Korea Talk
North Korea and Russia are finishing their first-ever road bridge, officially economic but believed to be a covert military supply route—trucks are far harder...
Ukraine War
Putin won't be toppled tomorrow — he's spent years coup-proofing his rule. But this analysis argues his invasion of Ukraine may prove the slow...
Ukraine War
Ukraine hit Moscow again overnight — but the bigger story is what it represents: a middle power now routinely striking a nuclear superpower's capital...